confidence level for 90
A 90% confidence level signifies that if multiple random samples were drawn from a population and confidence intervals were created for each sample, around 90% of those intervals would encompass the actual population parameter. This level demonstrates a moderate level of assurance regarding the estimate and is frequently utilized in statistical evaluations to draw conclusions about variations between population proportions.
With a 90 percent confidence interval, there is a 10 percent likelihood of error. A 99 percent confidence interval would be broader than a 95 percent confidence interval (for instance, plus or minus 4. 5 percent instead of 3. 5 percent).
Although not explicitly mentioned, the margin of error indicated here was likely the 95 percent confidence interval. Simply put, this signifies that there is a 95 percent likelihood that between 35. 5 percent and 42. 5 percent of the electorate would support Bob Dole (39 percent plus or minus 3. 5 percent). On the other hand, there exists a 5 percent probability that less than 35. 5 percent of voters or more than 42. 5 percent of voters would back Bob Dole.
The accurate statistical definition of the 95 percent confidence interval is that if the telephone survey were carried out 100 times, in 95 instances the percentage of participants supporting Bob Dole would fall within the established confidence intervals, while in five instances the percentage supporting Dole would be either above or below the confidence interval range.